Human capital and capacity
Whether states have the people needed to staff, implement and oversee the AI governance institutions their strategies call for.
Key messages
- The UAE gained 0.26 and Saudi Arabia 0.10 on the UN Human Capital Index between 2018 and 2024.
- Human capital fell in eight of 16 states with data, including every fragile or conflict-affected state.
- Strategies depend on specialist and front-line administrative capacity; where human capital is under pressure, implementation support matters most.
- E-participation ranges from 0.96 to 0.01 across the region.
The United Arab Emirates gained 0.26 and Saudi Arabia 0.10 on the UN Human Capital Index. Human capital fell in eight of 16 states, including every fragile or conflict-affected state with data. Strategies depend on regulators, engineers and civil servants to carry them out; where human capital is under pressure, implementation support and regional training programmes matter most.
| State | HCI 2018 | HCI 2020 | HCI 2022 | HCI 2024 | Change 2018 to 2024 | Online services 2024 | E-participation 2024 | State capacity (fsQCA set) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAE | 0.6877 | 0.7320 | 0.8711 | 0.9436 | +0.256 | 0.9163 | 0.781 | 0.95 |
| SAU | 0.8101 | 0.8648 | 0.8662 | 0.9067 | +0.097 | 0.9900 | 0.959 | 0.90 |
| QAT | 0.6683 | 0.6698 | 0.7150 | 0.7114 | +0.043 | 0.7655 | 0.480 | 0.85 |
| BHR | 0.7897 | 0.8439 | 0.8154 | 0.8680 | +0.078 | 0.9031 | 0.904 | 0.80 |
| KWT | 0.6852 | 0.7470 | 0.7706 | 0.7083 | +0.023 | 0.6366 | 0.301 | 0.65 |
| OMN | 0.7013 | 0.7751 | 0.8067 | 0.7977 | +0.096 | 0.8077 | 0.658 | 0.70 |
| EGY | 0.6072 | 0.6192 | 0.6375 | 0.6150 | +0.008 | 0.7002 | 0.589 | 0.60 |
| MAR | 0.5278 | 0.6152 | 0.6350 | 0.6078 | +0.080 | 0.5618 | 0.438 | 0.55 |
| TUN | 0.6640 | 0.6974 | 0.6911 | 0.6497 | −0.014 | 0.5951 | 0.452 | 0.55 |
| DZA | 0.6640 | 0.6966 | 0.6956 | 0.6418 | −0.022 | 0.3320 | 0.055 | 0.35 |
| JOR | 0.7387 | 0.6800 | 0.6967 | 0.6458 | −0.093 | 0.7591 | 0.616 | 0.55 |
| LBN | 0.6649 | 0.6567 | 0.6656 | 0.5433 | −0.122 | 0.4489 | 0.466 | 0.35 |
| IRQ | 0.5094 | 0.4358 | 0.5888 | 0.4967 | −0.013 | 0.1876 | 0.096 | 0.30 |
| LBY | 0.7173 | 0.7357 | 0.7534 | 0.5952 | −0.122 | 0.0808 | 0.014 | 0.15 |
| SYR | 0.4860 | 0.5073 | 0.4983 | 0.4169 | −0.069 | 0.3068 | 0.069 | 0.05 |
| YEM | 0.4037 | 0.4142 | 0.3633 | 0.2670 | −0.137 | 0.1377 | 0.151 | 0.05 |
Note. Sixteen states have EGDI sub-index data. State capacity is a calibrated fuzzy-set membership score (table C1).
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